“人民币汇率贬值原因主是美国迫于高通胀不断加息，而我国为了刺激经济而降息，两国利差扩大，美元资产的预期收益率相比人民币提升，吸引美元回流，这是人民币短期快速贬值的核心原因。”
摘抄自： 人民币对美元汇率时隔两年再度“破7”
September 19, 2022 at 09:07AM
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“从短期来看，人民币的走势主要看美元指数的走势、疫情下经济的态势、国家政策的力度等。从长期来看，尽管汇率同时承受着外部干扰和内部压力的挤压，决定汇率的基本变量一是国力。国力的衡量既包含综合国力，也包含潜在的、现实的与趋势性的国力。”
摘抄自： 人民币对美元汇率时隔两年再度“破7”
September 19, 2022 at 09:08AM
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“Most everyone agrees—most importantly the central bankers who determine the amount of money and credit available in reserve currency countries—that having the highest rate of economic growth and lowest unemployment rate possible is good as long as it doesn’t produce undesirable inflation. What rate of inflation is undesirable? It’s a rate that creates undesirable effects on productivity; most people agree and central banks agree that it’s about two percent for reasons that I won’t now digress into.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:20AM
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“Since the price of anything is equal to the amount of money and credit spent on it divided by the quantity of it sold, the change in prices i.e., inflation is equal to the change in the amount of money and credit spent on goods and services divided by the change in the quantities of goods and services sold.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:22AM
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“Interest rates rising relative to inflation causes prices of equities, equity-like markets, and most income-producing assets to go down because of a) the negative effects it has on incomes, b) the need for asset prices to go down to provide competitive returns i.e., “the present value effect”, and c) the fact that there is less money and credit available to buy those investment assets.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:23AM
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“For example, the US government is going to have to sell a lot of debt to fund the deficit (4-5 percent of GDP this year) and the Federal Reserve is also going to sell (and let roll off) a lot (~4 percent of GDP). So the question is where the demand to buy this big supply (8-9 percent of GDP) will come from, or how much will interest rates have to rise to reduce private sector credit demand to balance the supply and demand. What do you think? I think it looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5 to 6 percent range) and a significant fall in private credit that will curtail spending. This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:29AM
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“The rise in interest rates will have two types of negative effects on asset prices: 1) the present value discount rate and 2) the decline in incomes produced by assets because of the weaker economy.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:30AM
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“a significant economic contraction will be required, but it will take a while to happen because cash levels and wealth levels are now relatively high, so they can be used to support spending until they are drawn down. We are now seeing that happen.”
摘抄自： It Starts With Inflation | LinkedIn
September 19, 2022 at 09:31AM
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“要防范外部势力策动“颜色革命”，共同反对以任何借口干涉别国内政，把本国前途命运牢牢掌握在自己手中。”
摘抄自： 习近平在上海合作组织成员国元首理事会第二十二次会议上的讲话（全文）
September 19, 2022 at 09:41AM
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“我们要持续开展联合反恐演习，严厉打击“三股势力”、毒品走私、网络和跨国有组织犯罪，有效应对数据安全、生物安全、外空安全等非传统安全挑战。”
摘抄自： 习近平在上海合作组织成员国元首理事会第二十二次会议上的讲话（全文）
September 19, 2022 at 09:42AM
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“我们要落实好成员国扩大本币结算份额路线图，加强本币跨境支付结算体系建设，推动建立本组织开发银行，加快区域经济一体化进程。”
摘抄自： 习近平在上海合作组织成员国元首理事会第二十二次会议上的讲话（全文）
September 19, 2022 at 09:43AM
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“中方愿同各方开展航天领域合作，通过提供卫星数据服务，支持各方农业发展、互联互通建设、减灾救灾等事业。”
摘抄自： 习近平在上海合作组织成员国元首理事会第二十二次会议上的讲话（全文）
September 19, 2022 at 09:43AM
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晚安哦